The 6^th CLIVAR Asian-Australian Monsoon Panel and

the 1^st CLIVAR/IOC Indian Ocean Panel Joint Meeting

 

18-20 February 2004

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India

 

Objectives:

• To promote the IOP activities, specifically to develop and implement a working plan for IOP for the near term (2-3-years) taking into account the implementation time lines of AAMP and CLIVAR (up to 2013) and IOC/GOOS
• To review/update the implementation process of AAMP, specifically to summarize current status and the near-term development in monsoon modeling, prediction and applications, and to develop a working plan for monsoon modeling workshop in collaboration with GEWEX building on the CIMS and COPE initiatives

 

Wednesday 18 Feb 2004

 

Introductory Joint Session

 

0900-0905 Welcome (Pant/Kolli)

0905-0910 Introduction of panel members and experts (Panel Chairs)

0910-0940 Introduction of agenda and perceived outcome (Panel Chairs)

0940-1000 The IOC/GOOS perspective for IOP (Erb)

1000-1020 Brief on recent WCRP/CLIVAR activities (Yan/Cattle/Sparrow) CLIVAR mid-term assessment (scheduled before the CLIVAR Conference); AAMP Prospectus (to be finalized in March); CLIVAR folder including fliers for panels (to be distributed at the Conference); CLIVAR Data and Information System (panel liaison and input especially from IOP are needed); JSC 2004; WCRP COPE initiative.

 

1020-1050 Tea/coffee

 

1050-1800 Parallel Panel Sessions (details in separate pages)

 

Thursday 19 Feb 2004

 

Joint Sessions 1: Summary of previous day parallel sessions

 

0900-0915 AAMP (Slingo/Webster)

0915-0930 IOP (Meyers)

 

Joint Session 2: Joint issues discussion

 

0930-0955 Ocean Carbon Project and AAMP/IOP (Tilbrook)

0955-1015 Argo sampling to support Monsoon research (Schiller)

1015-1035 Modeling Indian Oceans processes (McCreary)

1035-1055 Joint issues with VACS (Ogallo)

 

1055-1115 tea/coffee

 

Joint Session 3: Monsoon monitoring and process studies

 

1115-1130 VASCO/CIRENE (Vialard)

1130-1150 INSTANT (Molcard/Burhanuddin)

1150-1205 Indonesian works on monsoon (Winarso)

1205-1220 Links between East Asian Monsoon and S Hemisphere circulation (Wang)

1220-1230 Briefing on other process studies (optional)

1230-1240 Future process studies (Hacker)

 

1240-1400 lunch

 

Joint Session 4: Science talks

 

1400-1430 Variability of the Indian Ocean/shallow overturning (Schott)

1430-1500 Role of the Indian Ocean in Monsoons (Shetye)

1500-1530 Ocean processes in intraseasonal variability (Webster)

 

1530-1600 tea/coffee

 

1600-1630 Joint Session 5: Further discussion of common issues - the monsoon focus and oceanographic issues (outside the tropics and below the surface layer)

 

1630-1800 Parallel Panel Sessions (details in separate pages)

 

Friday 20 Feb 2004

 

0900-1200 Parallel Panel Sessions (details in separate pages)

 

Joint session 6: exchanging outcomes and reactions

 

1400-1430: AAMP summary (Webster/Slingo)

1430-1500: IOP summary (Meyers)

1500-1600: Conclusions and actions summary (Panel Chairs)

 

End of meeting

 

Parallel Panel Sessions AAMP

 

Wednesday 18 Feb 2004

 

1. Simulating and Predicting the AA monsoon: Daily, intraseasonal, interannual and decadal timescales

 

1050-1120 Monsoon modeling studies at IITM (Kolli)

1120-1150 Monsoon modeling and AMIP II (Annamalai)

1150-1220 Simulating and predicting the Australian monsoon (Hendon)

 

1220-1400: Lunch

 

1400-1430 Modeling studies of the predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (Molteni)

1430-1500 Monsoon modeling studies at the Hadley Centre (Martin)

1500-1530 Issues in modeling monsoon climates: variability and the basic state (Slingo) 

1530-1600 Discussion of key issues, barriers in monsoon simulation and prediction (all)

 

1600-1630: Tea/coffee

 

1630-1700 Update on WCRP initiative in seasonal to decadal prediction COPE (Yan/Cattle/Sparrow)

1700-1730 Discussion on monsoon modeling workshop. Do we need one? What should it address? How can we work with CIMS and TFSP initiative? (all)

 

Special session

 

1730-1800 Input to AAMP Prospectus, Flyer, JSC 2004 and CLIVAR mid-term assessment (Yan/Cattle/Sparrow, panel members to come with comments/additions and offer to lead activity). Note JSC 2004 is dated 1 March. Input from AAMP and IOP is needed immediately.

 

Thursday 19 Feb 2004

 

2. Applications and impacts of monsoon predictability, variability and change

 

1630-1645 Flood forecasting for Bangladesh (Webster)

1645-1700 Predicting annual crop yields in current and future climates (Slingo)

1700-1715 Applications of seasonal monsoon prediction in Australia (Hendon)

1715-1730 Climate impacts studies in India (Kolli)

1730-1740 Dynamics of pre-monsoon heat waves (Annamalai)

1740-1810 Discussion of applications research. Links with other CLIVAR groups (e.g., ETCCDMI) and START? Climate and extremes change and the AAM? (all)

 

Friday 20 Feb 2004

 

3. Coordinating with GEWEX and other monsoon studies

 

0900-0930 Update on CIMS - CEOP modeling initiative and a possible GEWEX/CLIVAR joint GAME (Matsumoto)

 

0930-1000 Further discussion on monsoon modeling workshop planning, taking into account the GEWEX activities and the third International Workshop of Monsoon (IWM-III, Hangzhou, Nov 2004) under the WMO Committee of Atmospheric Science/Working Group on Tropical Meteorology Research (WGTMR). Could we associate our workshop to the IWM-III in order to efficiently using WMO/WCRP resources? If possible, we immediately need to put a preliminary proposal into the CLIVAR report for JSC for getting support. Nominate a joint organizing group? (all)

 

4. General discussion and agreement on future actions

 

1000-1020 Key issues for future foci of AAMP and links with the IOP (Lead: Webster/Slingo)

1020-1040 Proposals for possible workshop topics (attendees to prepare suggestions in advance). Organisers to be identified and timeline agreed (all)

1040-1100 Actions needed for the workshop, AAMP Prospectus, CLIVAR flyer, CLIVAR mid-term assessment and immediately for JSC 2004, led by a panel member for each

 

1100-1130 tea/coffee

 

1130-1200 (current panel members only)

 

  Membership of AAMP: Julia Slingo is standing down after this meeting. Suggestions for her replacement as well as new members are needed

 

End of AAMP sessions

 

Parallel Panel Sessions IOP

 

Wednesday 18 Feb 2004

 

1050-1150

 

1.  Terms of reference, short and long term goals - discussion leader Erb and Meyers

 

2. Tropical mooring arrays - overview and discussion leader McPhaden

 

Brief reports:

1150-1200 Japanese equatorial moorings (Masumoto)

1200-1210 Indian equatorial moorings (Shetye)

1210-1220 European equatorial moorings (Molcard)

 

1220-1400: Lunch

 

2. Tropical mooring arrays (cont.)

 

1400-1410 Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea moorings (Ravichandran)

1410-1500 Discussion

 

3. Argo floats - Overview and discussion leader Satish Shetye

 

1500-1510 Brief report on the global program (Ravichandran)

1510-1530 Discussion

 

4. Other measurements (Drifters, XBT, SL) - overview and discussion leader Gary Meyers

 

1530-1545 Comments on national/regional issues (all)

1545-1600 Discussion (all)

 

1600-1630: Tea/coffee

 

5. Data Management - Overview and discussion leader Hacker

 

1630-1645 Asian-Pacific Data-Research Center - APDRC (Hacker)

1645-1700 INCOIS (Ravichandran)

1700-1715 Discussion

 

1715-1800

 

6. Outline implementation plan/writing assignments - Meyers

 

Thursday 19 Feb 2004

 

1630-1800

 

6. (cont.) Further work to outline writing assignments for an Implementation Plan for IO observations

 

Friday 20 Feb 2004

 

Morning: Continue IOP session as needed

 

End of IOP sessions